Monday, May 11, 2009

Chinese CPI Still Negative

WSJ details:

China's main inflation measures remained in negative territory in April, new data issued Monday show, but economists said the risk of sustained deflation in the world's third-largest economy is subsiding as bank lending surges and other economic indicators start to show improvement.

But much of the current drop reflects a comparison with a huge price spike in the first half of 2008: inflation in April last year was 8.5%. Prices of raw materials have actually been picking up in recent weeks, though they remain below last year's highs.

That reflects increasing indications that China's economy is bottoming out: Growth in fixed-asset investment and industrial output accelerated significantly in March. Chinese banks are also pumping enormous amounts of liquidity into the economy, extending 4.58 trillion yuan (around $671 billion) of new yuan loans in the first three months of 2009, nearly as much as in all of last year.

4 comments:

  1. The reason for 2008's high CPI was due to the surge in pork price. If one takes the pork away, the cpi was moderate.

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  2. Yes, that is a lot of pork. Have you ever been in a chinese resturant? You will find pork is a very important integrient in their diets, BBQ pork, prawn dumpling...

    Most of the people in China are still very poor. Food is a big proportion to their expenses.

    http://english.gov.cn/2009-05/11/content_1310538.htm

    If you can read chinese, then read

    http://www.gov.cn/gzdt/2009-05/12/content_1311865.htm

    and the google poorly translated text:

    http://translate.google.com/translate?prev=hp&hl=zh-TW&js=n&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.gov.cn%2Fgzdt%2F2009-05%2F12%2Fcontent_1311865.htm&sl=zh-CN&tl=en

    ReplyDelete