Wednesday, November 4, 2009

ISM Services Slowly Expanding

No upside in employment in the ISM Services data that we saw in ISM Manufacturing on Monday. Per the ISM:

  • "General economic tone is still 'wait and see.' Capital outlays are postponed for durable goods." (Health Care & Social Assistance)"Cost-cutting efforts continue." (Transportation & Warehousing)
  • "Overall business activity increasing — forecast even better market conditions in the coming months." (Construction)
  • "Business climate remains encouraging, but recovery will remain slow in rebounding." (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)
  • "The weakening U.S. dollar contributing to upward pressure on commodity prices." (Wholesale Trade)

Source: ISM

1 comment:

  1. Yeah. Dollar is expected to weaken further against Euro and hence we see commodity prices strengthening further going forward.

    As a consequence, real consumption comes down because of weak consumer. Over the next few quarters I am visualizing a scanario where equities see erosion and a prolonged bull market in commodities especially metals, gold and crude.