Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Recovery in Perspective: Nominal GDP Edition

Remember that "recovery" we experienced in the third quarter? Turns out nominal GDP bounced a "whopping" 3.2% (down 1% from the initial release). Or to put this figure in perspective, the 42nd highest quarter out of the last 251 (i.e. one of the lowest 17% quarters over the last 50+ years).


And while real GDP is the real production of the economy, nominal GDP is important for a debt burdened economy as debt is in nominal terms. Since the recession started in December 2007 nominal GDP is cumulatively negative (over 7 quarters), something that has not happened since WWII.



Some recovery.

Source: BEA

4 comments:

getyourselfconnected said...

I am no chart expert, but that looks like an intact long term downtrend from 1979-present. Geting by with less but more debt?

Jake said...

You have to remember that inflation has trended down over that time as well and this is nominal terms.

getyourselfconnected said...

Well I always miss something.

The Arthurian said...

I keep coming back to this:

"And while real GDP is the real production of the economy, nominal GDP is important for a debt burdened economy as debt is in nominal terms."

It is such an important point.

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