Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Oil: Supply Up, Demand Down

And why are people bullish on oil? If your answer is the dollar, then short the dollar.

Supply

CNN Money:

Oil prices extended their decline Wednesday after a weekly government inventory report said crude supplies rose unexpectedly. Light, sweet crude for July delivery fell $1.37 to $67.18 a barrel by 10:48 a.m. ET. Oil had traded down 75 cents just prior to the report's release.

In its weekly inventory report, the Energy Information Administration said crude stocks increased by 2.9 million barrels in the week ended May 29. Analysts expected oil supply to decrease by 2 million barrels, according to a consensus estimate of industry analysts surveyed by Platts, a global energy information provider.



Demand

Bloomberg:

U.S. fuel demand fell 900,000 barrels to 17.7 million barrels a day last week, the biggest decrease since the week ended Jan. 9, the report showed. Gasoline consumption slipped 518,000 barrels to 9.02 million.

The peak U.S. gasoline demand period lasts from late May’s Memorial Day holiday until Labor Day in early September, as Americans take to the highways for vacations.

It was surprising to see gasoline demand drop, because of the Memorial Day holiday,” said Mike Zarembski, senior commodity analyst at OptionsXpress Holdings Inc. in Chicago. “It’s probably a sign that consumers are cutting back on driving because of the run-up in retail prices.”

Source: EIA