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Monday, October 13, 2008

U.S. Budget Deficit... $2 Trillion!?!?!

Per Bloomberg:

Bailouts of American International Group, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac likely will be more expensive than expected. States are turning to Washington for fiscal help. The Federal Reserve said this week it will begin buying commercial paper, the short- term loans companies used to conduct day-to-day business, further increasing costs. And analysts now say the $700 billion bank- rescue plan passed by Congress last week may have to be significantly larger.

The 2009 budget deficit could be close to $2 trillion, or 12.5 percent of gross domestic product, more than twice the record of 6 percent set in 1983, according to David Greenlaw, Morgan Stanley's chief economist. Two weeks ago, budget analysts said the measures might push deficit to as much as $1.5 trillion.
Well, I calculate the number closer to 14% ($2 Trillion / GDP in Q2 of 14.3 Trillion). Either way, an expected deficit more than 2x the previous record set more more than 25 years ago.