Wednesday, March 14, 2012

About that Treasury Blood Bath

Pundits, bloggers, experts, etc... have been calling for a Treasury sell-off going on 3-4 years now (here is a post of mine from January 2009 on that exact subject.... and one from October 2010...and one from January 2012) so it is no surprise that the recent sell-off has brought the bears back out.


Global Macro Monitor even says we may be starting what it refers to as the Bond Market Arab Spring.

Wow... that's bold. Let's see the beginning stage of the massive sell-off they are referring to.


Yeah... I don't see it (yet) either.

While any sell-off has the potential to become the large sell-off EVERYONE has been waiting for (economic data is improving, yields are very low, inflation is ticking higher), I am not yet convinced it's the sure thing these "experts" want you to believe.

But, I guess if you keep making the same prediction, eventually it will come true.