ISM Reports:
WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ...
- "Business still holding its own. Some growth in margin now that some of the raw materials prices have abated. Oil is pushing $100 so that has not been favorable." (Chemical Products)
- "Orders for the remaining two months have increased after an extended 'summer dip' in sales overall. We expect to finish the year approximately 10 percent above 2010." (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)
- "Seeing a slight slowdown in orders; could be related to the holidays." (Primary Metals)
- "Material lead times are getting longer. Seems like no one is hiring. Trying to do twice the output with the same amount of people." (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
- "Japanese auto production has returned to 100 percent, and domestic manufacturing continues to increase." (Fabricated Metal Products)
- "Oil exploration seems to be really picking up. Government is permitting again, so business is the busiest we've ever seen." (Computer & Electronic Products)
- "The EPS ruling about higher fees for coal-generated electricity can have a huge, negative impact on our business if implemented in January 2012. We are at the peak of our seasonal demand push." (Plastics & Rubber Products)
- "Thailand flood impacting our business. Honda and Toyota cut production forecasts, and we are chasing some components made in Thailand." (Transportation Equipment)
Source: ISM
The rise in IP is in line with the most recent spike in New Orders - Inventories data which tends to lead broader activity. The US economy (unlike its European counterpart) is stubbornly refusing to double-dip - however with government transfers expiring and claims continuing to hug the 400K handle, the likelihood that consumers will pause their robust consumption is increasing.
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