ISM Reports:
WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ...
- "Business still holding its own. Some growth in margin now that some of the raw materials prices have abated. Oil is pushing $100 so that has not been favorable." (Chemical Products)
- "Orders for the remaining two months have increased after an extended 'summer dip' in sales overall. We expect to finish the year approximately 10 percent above 2010." (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)
- "Seeing a slight slowdown in orders; could be related to the holidays." (Primary Metals)
- "Material lead times are getting longer. Seems like no one is hiring. Trying to do twice the output with the same amount of people." (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
- "Japanese auto production has returned to 100 percent, and domestic manufacturing continues to increase." (Fabricated Metal Products)
- "Oil exploration seems to be really picking up. Government is permitting again, so business is the busiest we've ever seen." (Computer & Electronic Products)
- "The EPS ruling about higher fees for coal-generated electricity can have a huge, negative impact on our business if implemented in January 2012. We are at the peak of our seasonal demand push." (Plastics & Rubber Products)
- "Thailand flood impacting our business. Honda and Toyota cut production forecasts, and we are chasing some components made in Thailand." (Transportation Equipment)
The rise in IP is in line with the most recent spike in New Orders - Inventories data which tends to lead broader activity. The US economy (unlike its European counterpart) is stubbornly refusing to double-dip - however with government transfers expiring and claims continuing to hug the 400K handle, the likelihood that consumers will pause their robust consumption is increasing.
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