EconomPic
Wednesday, June 20, 2018

CAPE of Good Hope? P/E Divergence as a Performance Signal

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Lawrence Hamtil  recently shared a  Vanguard paper  with me that was surprising given it indicated the trailing twelve month price-to-earni...
Wednesday, January 31, 2018

The Behavioral and Performance Benefits of Trend Following

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When we tell our investors to invest for the long run, we have to make sure the short run doesn’t kill them first… Investing for the long ...
Tuesday, December 5, 2017

Can Time Solve the Issue of High Valuations?

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“Time solves most things. And what time can't solve, you have to solve yourself.” - Haruki Murakami  Recent research by GMO outlined ...
Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Volatility May Feel More Painful the Next Time Around

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Stock and bond markets have been extraordinarily quiet since February 2016 lows. How quiet? A 60/40 portfolio consisting of the S&P 500 ...
Friday, September 22, 2017

Compound Your Face Off

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My buddy  Wes Gray  shared one of my favorite investment mantras when he was interviewed on  Patrick O’Shaughnessy's  stellar podcast  I...
Friday, August 4, 2017

US Stock Multiples Properly Reflect Sentiment, But It Doesn't Make Them Attractive

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GMO's latest quarterly commentary is a must read, especially the second half where Jeremy Grantham attempts to model / answer the quest...
Thursday, July 27, 2017

When Big Numbers Attack: Corporate Defined Benefit Plans are Not the Problem

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I started my career working closely with corporate pension plans, thus when I saw the following article in my twitter feed causing alarm I t...
Monday, July 24, 2017

The Case for the Harmonic Mean P/E Calculation

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The most recent "analysis" seemingly spreading like wildfire across the perma-bear community was performed by  Horizon Kinetics  i...
Tuesday, July 18, 2017

EconomVIX...A Summary of Past VIX Posts

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RCM Alternatives has a great piece  (HT Tadas ) outlining what the VIX is, the market for VIX related products, and how to think about volat...
Thursday, May 25, 2017

Yes. Demographics and Economic Growth Matter for Equity Returns

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Quick note... for those not already listening, my buddy  Patrick O’Shaughnessy has one of the (if not the) best investing podcasts out the...
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