EconomPic
Friday, December 30, 2011

What a Year it Was!!!

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So... what happened to asset classes in 2011? Bonds crushed equities. Real assets were mixed. More important (to me)... what happened to me ...
6 comments:

Something Positive for the New Year

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An ugly (yet improving) chart shows the number of hours worked per person... Which, when combined with real GDP leads to a new high in GDP p...
2 comments:
Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Breaking Out the 0.1%

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Greg Mankiw outlines who earns the 0.1% of national income: Here is an interesting paper that answers the question. Some highlights from ...
1 comment:

Confidence Upswing Continues

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Bloomberg details: Confidence among U.S. consumers rose in December to the highest level in eight months as an improving job market helped ...
1 comment:
Friday, December 23, 2011

Consumers Don't Care About Savings Rates

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LA Times details the (lack of) savings: Consumer spending last month grew faster than people’s take-home incomes as households cut their sa...
3 comments:
Thursday, December 22, 2011

Leading Economic Indicators Rise in November

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BusinessWeek details: The index of U.S. leading indicators climbed more than forecast in November, a sign that the world’s largest economy ...
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GDP Revised Down to 1.8% on Weaker Consumption

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The WSJ details: The U.S. economy expanded less than thought during the third quarter as consumer spending fell short of an earlier estimat...
1 comment:
Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Even More Perspective on Housing

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In response to my post Some Perspective on Housing , reader Tom Lindmark commented: It would be interesting if you could take the time seri...
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Some Perspective on Housing

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Washington Post puts some perspective on the new housing data: Builders broke ground on a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000 homes ...
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Gingrich Sliding in Polls... Phew!

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I try to steer clear of politics for the most part here at EconomPic , but the thought of Gingrich in any position of power frightens me (he...
Friday, December 16, 2011

EconomPics of the Week (12/16/11)

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Economic Data Breaking Down CPI Real Retails Sales per Capita Real Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas Makes New High Consumer Credit (Excluding ...

Breaking Down CPI

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SF Gate details: Overall consumer prices increased 3.4 percent in the 12 months ended November, the smallest year-over-year increase since ...
Thursday, December 15, 2011

China's Slowing Treasury Purchases

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With almost each Treasury holdings release, the mainstream media claims China is selling Treasuries, when in reality purchases are just flow...
Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Will the US be Importing Deflation?

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Bloomberg details: The import-price index climbed 0.7 percent, the first increase in four months and followed a 0.5 percent drop in October...
1 comment:
Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Real Retails Sales per Capita

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Following this morning's post on real monthly retail sales , a few readers asked to see the chart adjusted for population growth. I'...
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Real Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas Makes New High

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Bloomberg details the latest retail sales: U.S. retail sales rose in November at the slowest pace in five months, indicating faster job gro...
5 comments:
Monday, December 12, 2011

European Expectations and the Price of Gold

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You never want to read too much into any short-term trend, but take a look today's market performance, as well as the "correction...
3 comments:
Friday, December 9, 2011

Trade Deficit Narrows

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Bloomberg details: The trade deficit narrowed in October to the lowest level of the year, reflecting a drop in imports that will help give ...
Thursday, December 8, 2011

Why Do Large Cap Firm's Trade at a Discount to Market?

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Aleph Blog outlines why he believes "behemoth" companies (i.e. firms with a market value greater than $100 billion) trade at rel...
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Public Sector Balance Sheets Leveraged to Offset Private Sector Deleveraging

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From table D.3. of the Fed's Flow of Funds , we see that as the private sector deleverages , the public sector has added even more debt,...
3 comments:
Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Consumer Credit (Excluding Student Loans) Now Below 50 Year Average

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Bloomberg outlines: U.S. consumer borrowing rose in October to the highest level in two years, propelled by gains in non-revolving debt lik...
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Monday, December 5, 2011

Global Manufacturing Recession or Noise?

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Source: Investment Postcards via The Big Picture
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Friday, December 2, 2011

EconomPics of the Week (12/2/11)

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Economic Data Traction on the Jobs Front... Headline vs. Actual Construction Decline Bottoming ISM Manufacturing Moves Higher The Importan...
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Traction on the Jobs Front... Headline vs. Actual

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First the (very strong) "headline", then the details. The WSJ with the headline: The U.S. labor market strengthened in November a...
1 comment:
Thursday, December 1, 2011

Auto Recovery in Perspective

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SF Gate details: Four of the six largest automakers by U.S. sales beat expectations, boosting industry sales to a 13.6 million seasonally a...
1 comment:

Construction Decline Bottoming

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The AP reports: U.S. builders spent more in October on homes, offices and shopping centers, pushing construction spending up for a third st...

ISM Manufacturing Moves Higher

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ISM Reports: WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ... "Business still holding its own. Some growth in margin now that some of the raw materials...
1 comment:
Wednesday, November 30, 2011

The Importance of Small Business Hiring

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The WSJ details the potential good news on the job front: Private-sector jobs in the U.S. rose by 206,000, according to a national employme...
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Are Home Prices Inexpensive Relative to History?

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It depends on the time frame you are looking at. The below charts show real appreciation (after inflation), by city where available, going b...

Consumer Confidence.... Things Are Looking Up as it Can't Get Much Worse Editition

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BusinessWeek details: Consumer confidence climbed in November by the most in more than eight years as Americans grew more upbeat about empl...
Sunday, November 27, 2011

The European Impact on Financials and Risk Assets

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I wrote back in early October that financials have been an important factor in risk asset performance for the better part of the past four ...
Friday, November 25, 2011

Whipsaw

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What was down (risk assets), was up, then down again. What was up (Treasuries), was down, then up again. Below is an assortment of sector ET...
Wednesday, November 23, 2011

European Industrial New Orders Crumble

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Industrial production within Europe for the month of September was ugly (see here ), but nothing compared to new orders made during the same...
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Corporate Profits vs. Personal Income

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Stagnant wages and outsourced production (reduced expenses for corporations - higher unemployment / underemployment for individuals), combin...
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Tuesday, November 22, 2011

GDP Growth Revised Down Due to (Lack of) Inventory Rebuild

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Bloomberg details: The economy in the U.S. expanded less than previously estimated in the third quarter, reflecting a drop in inventories t...
1 comment:
Monday, November 21, 2011

Morality and Religion

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Lots of interesting topics in the PEW Research Center's The American-Western European Values Gap . Here's one... Note: bringing up r...
Friday, November 18, 2011

EconomPics of the Week

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U.S. (Pointing Up) Leading Indicators... Full Steam Ahead Retail Sales Ratchet Higher Capacity Utilization vs. Inflation Employment (Ugly / ...
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Leading Indicators... Full Steam Ahead

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Whether or not the U.S. can truly break away from European concerns is still an open question, but recent economic data points to a decrease...
Thursday, November 17, 2011

Unemployment: Due to Lack of Domestic Expansion, Not Layoffs

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The BLS released their latest Business Employment Dynamics report that breaks out positive change in employment (by expansions and new busi...
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Bill Miller Stepping Down as CIO

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Update: the Yahoo Finance data for LMVTX that I had used appears to be wrong (no clue why and quite frankly concerning). The chart has been ...
7 comments:
Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Capacity Utilization vs. Inflation

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Marketwatch details: The output of the nation’s factories, mines and utilities rose 0.7% in October, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday in ...
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Tuesday, November 15, 2011

France is No Germany

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FT Alphaville details: The 30-year German bond yield is close to a record low, around 2.48 per cent at pixel time. France might be able to ...
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