EconomPic
Wednesday, June 9, 2010

China to the Rescue

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The bull's case has been that the emerging market growth will more than make up for stagnant growth in the developed world. Data coming ...
4 comments:
Tuesday, June 8, 2010

U.S. Public Debt to Surpass GDP by 2012

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Business Week details: In the U.S., public borrowings passed $13 trillion for the first time this month, according to the Treasury Departme...

Diverging Global Economic Recovery

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Whereas emerging markets are broadly setting new peaks of economic activity (i.e. real GDP levels), the developed world continues to sit bel...
Monday, June 7, 2010

Consumer Credit Split

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I wonder if this is the consumer taking advantage of low rates and locking them in for a longer period, but a definite divergence between re...
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The Too Big to Fail... Fail

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The Big Picture details the huge issue with bailouts of the largest financial institutions: One of the most compelling factors was the horr...
1 comment:
Friday, June 4, 2010

EconomPics of the Week (6/4/10)

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Jumping off the world wide web early this week... everyone enjoy the weekend. Investing What is an Investment in Hedge Funds? Show Me th...
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Jobs Data Disappoints

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Posting this from 20,000+ feet. Gotta love technology. RTT News details the latest employment report: The report showed that non-farm payro...
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What is an Investment in Hedge Funds?

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With the equity market selling off broadly in May, it should come as no surprise that hedge funds also underperformed across the board... Wh...
Thursday, June 3, 2010

Strength in Servicing

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What businesses are saying (per the ISM ): "Our business continues to grow. We are significantly above last year's pace." (In...
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Show Me the Money

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After looking at historical equity and bond data (going back to 1871) for my equity valuation analysis posts, I was reminded of the followi...
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Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Auto Sales Bouncing Off Lows...

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The Good (per the AP ): Americans shrugged off fewer discounts and a scary stock market plunge last month, snapping up new automobiles and ...
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Even More on 'Equity Valuation'

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Following my post Equity Valuation Matters , I received a request to show the results in real terms (presented here ). As I said then: Ple...
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Employment: Higher Among Parents

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Yesterday we took a look at the (lack of) employment among teens ... today we look at employment of their parents. The BLS reports: Forty-f...
Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Forget Dow 10,000... Agg 3-0-8!

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We have a new milestone to watch... the Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (i.e. the most popular US dollar fixed income benchmark) close...

ISM Manufacturing Shows Continued Rebound

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ISM details what respondents are saying: "Tight supply conditions exist for electronic components." (Computer & Electronic Pr...
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Euro Zone Unemployment Hits 12 Year High

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The WSJ reports: The euro zone's unemployment rate rose to its highest level for almost 12 years in April, while growth in manufacturin...
Monday, May 31, 2010

School's Out for Summer.... Now What?

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Calculated Risk details 'Few Jobs for Students this Summer': For summer jobs, this will probably be the worst year since the Great D...
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Friday, May 28, 2010

EconomPics of the Memorial Day Weekend

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Economic Data GDP Revised Slightly Down to 3% in Q1 Not Sustainable - Part II New Home Sales Jump... Test Comes Next Month Durable Goods Ord...
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Real: Equity Valuation Matters

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Following my post Equity Valuation Matters , I received a request to show the results in real terms. Here you go... Please note this still m...
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Not Sustainable - Part II

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My Not Sustainable post from last month involved the same inputs; compensation (not to be confused with total income) and consumption. Note...
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Thursday, May 27, 2010

What Volatility?

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Amazing how less volatile things seem when they are moving in the "correct" direction. Source: Finance
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GDP Revised Slightly Down to 3% in Q1

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Marketwatch details: The U.S. economy grew at a 3.0% pace in the first quarter - lower than the 3.2% previously reported - owing mainly to ...

Equity Valuation Matters...

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Step 1) Take the S&P 500 Index (lots of data here ) and divide that level by the current level of nominal GDP (you can find that here )...
11 comments:
Wednesday, May 26, 2010

New Home Sales Jump... Test Comes Next Month

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The Washington Post details: New homes sales surged last month as home buyers rushed to take advantage of a government tax credit that has ...
2 comments:

Durable Goods Orders Mixed in April

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The WSJ reports: Long-lasting goods orders in April rose above expectations, primarily pushed forward by a huge surge in civilian airplanes...

Treasuries... Full Circle

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Paul Krugman points out that no matter how much some things have changed, Ten Year Treasury rates (though noisy) have remained the same (no...
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Tuesday, May 25, 2010

U.S. Economy on Continued Life Support

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Calculated Risk details that according to the CBO , stimulus (i.e. the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act " ARRA ") raised GD...
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Case Shiller: Housing Rebound Losing Steam?

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LA Times reports: “The housing market may be in better shape than this time last year, but, when you look at recent trends there are signs ...

Confidence Improves in May

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Just getting to some posting, as I took the day off (planned for a few weeks). As today just happened to coincide with the nicest day of the...

The Month of the Draw Down

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Diversifying across risk assets doesn't work when systemic crisis shift correlations to one. Source: Yahoo
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Monday, May 24, 2010

Dow 10,000!!!!

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As of this post, Dow futures are off big . You know what that means? Break out the whistles and confetti.... Dow 10,000!!! Not as much fun g...
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Low Quality Rally Unwind

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Bloomberg details: Corporate bond sales are poised for their worst month in a decade, while relative yields are rising at the fastest pace ...
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Friday, May 21, 2010

EconomPics of the Week (5/21/10)

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Global Economy Major Players Still Buying Treasuries France and the PIIGS It Isn't Always a Liquidity Problem Economic Data Leadi...
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Thursday, May 20, 2010

U.S. Dollar is King (for Now)

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Source: Bloomberg
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Blood in the Streets...

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Okay, perhaps an exaggeration, but it sure felt that way today. A severe sell-off across all assets, with the exception of Treasuries (stron...
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Leading Economic Indicators Negative for First Time in a Year

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With everything else going on in the world, the markets did not take the following well. Daily Markets details: Thursday morning, the Confe...
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Look Out Below...

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As of 8:30 AM... Source: Yahoo
Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Commercial Real Estate Resumes Decline

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After the Moody's/REAL Commercial Property Price Index appeared to be bottoming in January, EconomPic stated: So have we hit a bottom? ...
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May 19th in Brief

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Recap in brief... Squeezed Euro (though I personally think a further rebound is possible) Oversold financial rebound (see GS ) Continued fli...
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Disinflation Alert

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Marketwatch reports: Consumer prices in the United States fell 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis in April as energy, housing, auto and ap...
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Tuesday, May 18, 2010

PPI Drops Slightly in April

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Automated Trader details: Producer prices ticked down 0.1% in April, under forecasts of a 0.1% rise and following a 0.7% increase in March....

U.K. Inflation Continues Uptick

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My take? The issue will be containing this run up in inflation, but it is an easier task dealing with moderate (for now) inflation than disi...
Monday, May 17, 2010

It Isn't Always a Liquidity Problem

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The AP reports: The Treasury Department said Monday it will lose $1.6 billion on a loan made to Chrysler in early 2009. Taxpayer losses from...
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